Which of these state or local laws will pass?·closes in 8mo

Will Nashville commercial property tax relief become law?

YES means Yes

24h volume
0
0 lifetime
Open interest
0
Spread
2,298 × 2,806 at the touch
24h range
Chance of YES
0%

A YES contract costs 69¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
100%

costs 34¢

YES bid / ask
66¢ / 69¢
NO bid / ask
31¢ / 34¢
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask2,24096¢
  • ask20094¢
  • ask18793¢
  • ask2,50692¢
  • ask1,19089¢
  • ask35287¢
  • ask60072¢
  • ask2,80669¢
spreadmid 68¢
  • bid2,29866¢
  • bid20021¢
  • bid2,05120¢
  • bid4519¢
  • bid13
  • bid5,620
  • bid10.9k
  • bid10.3k
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If a Tennessee statute or Metro Nashville ordinance that caps, freezes, reduces, or funds payment of Metro Nashville–Davidson County property taxes on commercial real property is enacted in Tennessee before Jun 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Enactment requires completion of all constitutional and legal requirements for the legislation to become binding law. Standard legislation requiring executive approval: final passage by all required legislative bodies, executive signature OR becoming law despite executive inaction OR successful veto override, and satisfaction of any required waiting periods Legislation not requiring executive approval: final passage and completion of required waiting periods Constitutional amendments: passage with required supermajorities and completion of ratification processes Executive orders: official signature, publication in official government records, and legal effectiveness The following do NOT constitute enactment: Legislative passage without completed executive action Passage by only some required bodies Provisional passage Non-binding resolutions Draft orders Enactment occurs when all requirements are completed, regardless of pending judicial challenges.

opened
Aug 17 · 8:10 PM UTC
closes
Jun 1, 2027 · 3:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jun 8, 2027 · 2:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXLOCALLAW-TBBROADWAY-27JUN01
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in Will Nashville commercial property tax relief become law?.

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.