Which of these state or local laws will pass?·closes in 10mo

Will Tennessee regulate data center water use?

YES means Yes

24h volume
6.82
5,230 lifetime
Open interest
877
Spread
6,426 × 3,861 at the touch
24h range
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
35%+1

A YES contract costs 35¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
65%

costs 66¢

YES bid / ask
34¢ / 35¢
NO bid / ask
65¢ / 66¢
Recent buying50% YES · 50% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask5.4675¢
  • ask7374¢
  • ask54973¢
  • ask4072¢
  • ask2,20070¢
  • ask1,21168¢
  • ask667¢
  • ask3,86135¢
spreadmid 35¢
  • bid6,42634¢
  • bid50028¢
  • bid4411¢
  • bid2,01010¢
  • bid200
  • bid14
  • bid5,300
  • bid9,060
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If legislation imposing permitting, reporting, or conservation requirements on large data centers' water use is enacted in Tennessee before Aug 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Enactment requires completion of all constitutional and legal requirements for the legislation to become binding law. Standard legislation requiring executive approval: final passage by all required legislative bodies, executive signature OR becoming law despite executive inaction OR successful veto override, and satisfaction of any required waiting periods Legislation not requiring executive approval: final passage and completion of required waiting periods Constitutional amendments: passage with required supermajorities and completion of ratification processes Executive orders: official signature, publication in official government records, and legal effectiveness The following do NOT constitute enactment: Legislative passage without completed executive action Passage by only some required bodies Provisional passage Non-binding resolutions Draft orders Enactment occurs when all requirements are completed, regardless of pending judicial challenges.

Settlement sources
opened
Aug 17 · 8:21 PM UTC
closes
Aug 1, 2027 · 3:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Aug 8, 2027 · 2:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXLOCALLAW-TNAIWATER-27AUG01
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in Will Tennessee regulate data center water use?.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 50% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
9h ago35¢1.36bought yes
10h ago35¢5.46bought yes
2d ago34¢1.47bought no
7d ago34¢1.37bought no
8d ago34¢97bought no
8d ago34¢100bought no
8d ago34¢98bought no
8d ago34¢200bought no
8d ago34¢2.95bought no
8d ago35¢0.18bought yes
9d ago35¢25bought yes
9d ago35¢175bought yes
16d ago30¢2.89bought no
17d ago33¢1.39bought yes
17d ago33¢2.89bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.