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Southwest KPI·closes in 19mo

Will Southwest Airlines Company report Above 227 million seats flown in 2026?

YES means Above 227 million

24h volume
0
1,887 lifetime
Open interest
178
Spread
8¢
5 × 5 at the touch
24h range
–
17 recent trades
Chance of YES
59%

A YES contract costs 68¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
41%

costs 40¢

YES bid / ask
60¢ / 68¢
NO bid / ask
32¢ / 40¢
Recent buying75% YES · 25% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask50096¢
  • ask2,05795¢
  • ask5394¢
  • ask1,00090¢
  • ask20089¢
  • ask50080¢
  • ask20069¢
  • ask568¢
spread8¢mid 64¢
  • bid560¢
  • bid20059¢
  • bid42931¢
  • bid26030¢
  • bid19323¢
  • bid4212¢
  • bid11111¢
  • bid38910¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Southwest Airlines Company reports Above 227000000 seats flown in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Jun 9 · 10:17 PM UTC
closes
Mar 31, 2028 · 5:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 31, 2028 · 9:00 PM UTC
floor
227000000
ticker
KXLUVA-28JANSEATS-227000000
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 17 trades, 75% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
13d ago59¢30bought no
13d ago65¢0.54bought no
13d ago64¢34bought no
13d ago63¢5bought no
22d ago68¢3bought yes
22d ago69¢11bought yes
1mo ago61¢2bought no
1mo ago62¢1bought no
2mo ago63¢1bought no
2mo ago64¢200bought yes
2mo ago63¢1.54bought yes
2mo ago64¢26bought yes
2mo ago63¢5bought yes
2mo ago64¢15bought yes
2mo ago66¢5bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.