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Manager Out Date·closes in 3mo

Will Thomas Tuchel be out before Jan 1, 2027?

YES means Out before Jan 1, 2027

24h volume
0
4,356 lifetime
Open interest
1,099
Spread
4¢
110 × 100 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
7%

A YES contract costs 7¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
93%

costs 97¢

YES bid / ask
3¢ / 7¢
NO bid / ask
93¢ / 97¢
Recent buying11% YES · 89% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask8954¢
  • ask6349¢
  • ask28848¢
  • ask10034¢
  • ask121¢
  • ask1515¢
  • ask48¢
  • ask1007¢
spread4¢mid 5¢
  • bid1103¢
  • bid2,0002¢
  • bid3,0001¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Thomas Tuchel ceases to be the manager of England National Football Team before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

All dates in this market are based on Eastern Time (ET). Thomas Tuchel must officially leave their position on or before 11:59:59 PM ET on the specified date for the market to resolve Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 1 · 5:50 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2027 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jul 11, 2028 · 2:00 AM UTC
ticker
KXMANAGEROUTDATE-28TUCHEL-27JAN01
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 11% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2d ago7¢33bought yes
10d ago4¢3bought no
23d ago3¢3bought no
23d ago6¢1bought yes
23d ago6¢1bought yes
23d ago6¢1bought yes
1mo ago7¢1bought yes
1mo ago2¢4bought no
1mo ago14¢0.01bought yes
2mo ago1¢12bought yes
2mo ago6¢10bought no
2mo ago7¢0.83bought yes
2mo ago6¢2bought no
2mo ago6¢4bought no
2mo ago15¢5bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.