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Mercado Libre KPI·closes in 19mo

Will MercadoLibre Inc. report Above 3.65 billion items sold in 2026?

YES means Above 3.65 billion

24h volume
50
4,400 lifetime
Open interest
1,983
+373 over 7d
Spread
5¢
2,300 × 47 at the touch
24h range
6¢ – 6¢
15 recent trades
Chance of YES
6%

A YES contract costs 6¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
94%

costs 99¢

YES bid / ask
1¢ / 6¢
NO bid / ask
94¢ / 99¢
24h low 6¢24h high 6¢
Recent buying20% YES · 80% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢5¢10¢15¢volSep 14Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask2,00099¢
  • ask12848¢
  • ask341¢
  • ask5040¢
  • ask23135¢
  • ask7934¢
  • ask1.3314¢
  • ask476¢
spread5¢mid 4¢
  • bid2,3001¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If MercadoLibre Inc. reports Above 3650000000.0 items sold in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Jun 23 · 3:13 PM UTC
closes
Mar 31, 2028 · 5:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 31, 2028 · 9:00 PM UTC
floor
3650000000
ticker
KXMELIA-28JANITEMS-3650000000.0
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 15 trades, 20% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
15m ago6¢50bought yes
4d ago6¢48bought no
4d ago6¢2bought no
4d ago6¢48bought no
4d ago7¢45bought no
4d ago7¢5bought no
6d ago8¢200bought no
6d ago8¢25bought no
6d ago9¢10bought yes
6d ago9¢163bought yes
6d ago9¢25bought yes
6d ago9¢27bought yes
7d ago8¢200bought no
7d ago7¢564bought no
1mo ago2¢5bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.