KXMETAA·closes in 19mo

Will Meta Platforms Inc. report Above 3.72 billion family daily active people in 2026?

YES means Above 3.72 billion

24h volume
0
1,231 lifetime
Open interest
394
+0 over 7d
Spread
5 × 200 at the touch
24h range
10 recent trades
Chance of YES
64%

A YES contract costs 64¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
36%

costs 45¢

YES bid / ask
55¢ / 64¢
NO bid / ask
36¢ / 45¢
Recent buying53% YES · 47% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢volSep 17Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Meta Platforms Inc. reports Above 3720000000.0 family daily active people in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

opened
Jun 9 · 10:17 PM UTC
closes
Mar 31, 2028 · 5:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 31, 2028 · 9:00 PM UTC
floor
3720000000
ticker
KXMETAA-28JANDAP-3720000000.0
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 10 trades, 53% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
10d ago64¢200bought yes
17d ago60¢1bought yes
17d ago64¢8.06bought yes
17d ago60¢5bought yes
28d ago55¢0.39bought no
28d ago61¢0.39bought yes
2mo ago57¢5bought no
2mo ago56¢184bought no
2mo ago56¢0.04bought no
2mo ago63¢0.04bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.