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Midterm Voter Turnout·closes in 14mo

Will the total vote count for all participants in Minnesota Governor General Election be above 2600000?

YES means Above 2.6M

24h volume
0
689 lifetime
Open interest
24
+0 over 7d
Spread
7¢
200 × 200 at the touch
24h range
–
14 recent trades
Chance of YES
44%

A YES contract costs 45¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
56%

costs 62¢

YES bid / ask
38¢ / 45¢
NO bid / ask
55¢ / 62¢
Recent buying51% YES · 49% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢volSep 14Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask5099¢
  • ask97495¢
  • ask24390¢
  • ask13578¢
  • ask27677¢
  • ask9775¢
  • ask7474¢
  • ask20045¢
spread7¢mid 42¢
  • bid20038¢
  • bid10415¢
  • bid3112¢
  • bid16111¢
  • bid82910¢
  • bid5864¢
  • bid501¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the total vote count for all participants in Minnesota Governor General Election is above 2600000, then the market resolves to Yes.

The vote count refers to the officially certified results from the relevant election authority. Provisional, absentee, early, mail-in, or electronic ballots are included only if reflected in the official certification. In preferential or ranked-choice systems, the contract resolves based on the vote count identified as the official result by the certifying authority. The contract resolves based on officially certified results regardless of ongoing appeals. Preliminary counts, exit polls, projections, or uncertified results do not qualify. If the election is postponed but held within one year of the originally scheduled date, the contract remains valid; if postponed beyond one year or canceled, all contracts resolve to No.

Settlement sources
opened
May 6 · 4:00 PM UTC
closes
Nov 3, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 3, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
floor
2600000
ticker
KXMIDTERMVOTETURN-MNGOV-2600000
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 14 trades, 51% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
7d ago44¢21bought no
20d ago45¢2bought yes
20d ago76¢3bought no
20d ago75¢1bought no
20d ago76¢2bought no
27d ago49¢1bought yes
27d ago50¢89bought yes
27d ago44¢10bought yes
27d ago45¢200bought yes
1mo ago45¢21bought yes
2mo ago37¢2.58bought yes
2mo ago37¢100bought no
2mo ago35¢200bought no
2mo ago43¢16bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.