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Midterm Voter Turnout·closes in 14mo

Will the total vote count for all participants in Minnesota Senate General Election be above 3900000?

YES means Above 3.90M

24h volume
0
1 lifetime
Open interest
1
+0 over 7d
Spread
15¢
0 × 1 at the touch
24h range
–
Chance of YES
5%

A YES contract costs 15¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
95%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 15¢
NO bid / ask
85¢ / 100¢
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢5¢10¢15¢20¢volSep 14Sep 19

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1496¢
  • ask115¢
spread–mid –
    Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

    How this market resolves

    Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

    If the total vote count for all participants in Minnesota Senate General Election is above 3900000, then the market resolves to Yes.

    The vote count refers to the officially certified results from the relevant election authority. Provisional, absentee, early, mail-in, or electronic ballots are included only if reflected in the official certification. In preferential or ranked-choice systems, the contract resolves based on the vote count identified as the official result by the certifying authority. The contract resolves based on officially certified results regardless of ongoing appeals. Preliminary counts, exit polls, projections, or uncertified results do not qualify. If the election is postponed but held within one year of the originally scheduled date, the contract remains valid; if postponed beyond one year or canceled, all contracts resolve to No.

    Settlement sources
    opened
    May 7 · 2:00 PM UTC
    closes
    Nov 3, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
    settles by
    Nov 3, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
    floor
    3900000
    ticker
    KXMIDTERMVOTETURN-MNSEN-3900000
    Trade it on kalshi.com

    Other outcomes in this event

    Outcomes in this event settle independently.

    Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.