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Midterm Voter Turnout·closes in 14mo

Will the total vote count for all participants in North Carolina Senate General Election be above 3800000?

YES means Above 3.80M

24h volume
0
2,295 lifetime
Open interest
1,845
Spread
7¢
200 × 200 at the touch
24h range
–
11 recent trades
Chance of YES
85%

A YES contract costs 86¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
15%

costs 21¢

YES bid / ask
79¢ / 86¢
NO bid / ask
14¢ / 21¢
Recent buying76% YES · 24% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the total vote count for all participants in North Carolina Senate General Election is above 3800000, then the market resolves to Yes.

The vote count refers to the officially certified results from the relevant election authority. Provisional, absentee, early, mail-in, or electronic ballots are included only if reflected in the official certification. In preferential or ranked-choice systems, the contract resolves based on the vote count identified as the official result by the certifying authority. The contract resolves based on officially certified results regardless of ongoing appeals. Preliminary counts, exit polls, projections, or uncertified results do not qualify. If the election is postponed but held within one year of the originally scheduled date, the contract remains valid; if postponed beyond one year or canceled, all contracts resolve to No.

Settlement sources
opened
May 7 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Nov 3, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 3, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
floor
3800000
ticker
KXMIDTERMVOTETURN-NCSEN-3800000
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 11 trades, 76% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
3d ago85¢2bought yes
13d ago85¢52bought yes
28d ago81¢48bought yes
28d ago79¢50bought yes
29d ago79¢200bought no
1mo ago85¢58bought yes
1mo ago76¢32bought yes
1mo ago74¢100bought yes
2mo ago86¢0.54bought yes
2mo ago68¢100bought yes
2mo ago69¢200bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.