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Pro Baseball Debut·closes in 47mo

Will Grady Emerson play in a game for any team in the MLB before Aug 1, 2030?

YES means Before Aug 1, 2030

24h volume
0
342 lifetime
Open interest
24
+0 over 7d
Spread
88¢
5 × 7.57 at the touch
24h range
–
13 recent trades
Chance of YES
46%

A YES contract costs 94¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
54%

costs 94¢

YES bid / ask
6¢ / 94¢
NO bid / ask
6¢ / 94¢
Recent buying7% YES · 93% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢volSep 14Sep 20

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,00099¢
  • ask10095¢
  • ask7.5794¢
spread88¢mid 50¢
  • bid56¢
  • bid1005¢
  • bid1,0001¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Grady Emerson plays for any MLB team in a regular season or playoff game before Aug 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 11 · 2:00 AM UTC
closes
Aug 1, 2030 · 3:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 1, 2032 · 2:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXMLBDEBUT-GEMERSON-30AUG01
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 13 trades, 7% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
7d ago46¢4bought no
12d ago49¢1bought yes
2mo ago49¢5bought no
2mo ago49¢5bought no
2mo ago49¢5bought no
2mo ago49¢25bought no
2mo ago49¢25bought no
2mo ago49¢71bought no
2mo ago49¢8.57bought no
2mo ago49¢0.44bought no
2mo ago50¢5bought yes
2mo ago49¢5bought no
2mo ago50¢5bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.