Pro Baseball Debut·closes in 47mo

Will Roch Cholowsky play in a game for any team in the MLB before Aug 1, 2030?

YES means Before Aug 1, 2030

24h volume
0
215 lifetime
Open interest
56
+0 over 7d
Spread
88¢
5 × 97 at the touch
24h range
86¢ – 86¢
6 recent trades
Chance of YES
86%

A YES contract costs 95¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
14%

costs 93¢

YES bid / ask
/ 95¢
NO bid / ask
/ 93¢
24h low 86¢24h high 86¢
Recent buying14% YES · 86% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢volSep 14Sep 20

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Roch Cholowsky plays for any MLB team in a regular season or playoff game before Aug 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 11 · 2:00 AM UTC
closes
Aug 1, 2030 · 3:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 1, 2031 · 2:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXMLBDEBUT-RCHOLOWSKY-30AUG01
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 6 trades, 14% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
7d ago86¢4bought no
2mo ago86¢2bought no
2mo ago86¢1bought no
2mo ago86¢0.99bought no
2mo ago86¢24bought no
2mo ago87¢5bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.