Pro Baseball Debut·closes in 35mo

Will Seth Hernandez play in a game for any team in the MLB before Aug 1, 2029?

YES means Before Aug 1, 2029

24h volume
0
650 lifetime
Open interest
568
Spread
5 × 200 at the touch
24h range
2 recent trades
Chance of YES
85%

A YES contract costs 89¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
15%

costs 16¢

YES bid / ask
84¢ / 89¢
NO bid / ask
11¢ / 16¢
Recent buying100% YES · 0% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask5099¢
  • ask38898¢
  • ask197¢
  • ask10095¢
  • ask394¢
  • ask192¢
  • ask20089¢
spreadmid 87¢
  • bid584¢
  • bid26883¢
  • bid20080¢
  • bid3,032
  • bid50
  • bid100
  • bid3,570
  • bid5,140
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Seth Hernandez plays for any MLB team in a regular season or playoff game before Aug 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
May 9 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Aug 1, 2029 · 3:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 1, 2029 · 2:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXMLBDEBUT-SHERNANDEZ-29AUG01
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 2 trades, 100% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1mo ago85¢100bought yes
1mo ago85¢100bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.