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Pro Baseball Debut·closes in 7mo

Will Thomas White play in a game for any team in the MLB before May 1, 2027?

YES means Before May 1, 2027

24h volume
0
1,687 lifetime
Open interest
925
Spread
87¢
5 × 5 at the touch
24h range
–
39 recent trades
Chance of YES
28%

A YES contract costs 98¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
72%

costs 89¢

YES bid / ask
11¢ / 98¢
NO bid / ask
2¢ / 89¢
Recent buying94% YES · 6% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Thomas White plays for any MLB team in a regular season or playoff game before May 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
May 9 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
May 1, 2027 · 3:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 1, 2027 · 2:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXMLBDEBUT-TWHITE-27MAY01
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 39 trades, 94% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2mo ago28¢10bought yes
2mo ago28¢7bought yes
2mo ago28¢3bought yes
2mo ago22¢10bought yes
2mo ago18¢5bought yes
2mo ago18¢15bought yes
2mo ago22¢3bought no
2mo ago49¢10bought yes
2mo ago87¢10bought no
2mo ago41¢3bought yes
2mo ago84¢10bought no
2mo ago83¢15bought no
2mo ago82¢10bought yes
2mo ago83¢5bought yes
2mo ago83¢5bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.