KXMLBGAME·closes in 6d

Texas wins

YES means Texas

24h volume: 8.92; 8.92 lifetime
Open interest: 8.92; +0 over 7d
Spread: 4¢; 25 × 967 at the touch
24h range: 53¢ – 53¢

Chance of YES

53%

A YES contract costs 53¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

47%

costs 51¢

YES bid / ask

49¢ / 53¢

NO bid / ask

47¢ / 51¢

24h low 53¢24h high 53¢

What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.

2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.

3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h 7d 30d 90d

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes

ask3075¢
ask663¢
ask661¢
ask660¢
ask659¢
ask1,58255¢
ask75054¢
ask96753¢

spread4¢mid 51¢

bid2549¢
bid85045¢
bid1,00041¢
bid640¢
bid10639¢
bid638¢
bid637¢
bid1,07730¢

Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Texas wins the New York M vs Texas professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 23, 2026 at 8:05 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

The following market refers to the New York M vs Texas professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 23, 2026 at 8:05 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources

opened: Sep 21 · 12:25 AM UTC
closes: Sep 27 · 12:05 AM UTC · may close early
settles by: Sep 24 · 3:05 AM UTC
ticker: KXMLBGAME-26SEP232005NYMTEX-TEX

Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 98¢).

New York M45¢

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.