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Pro Baseball Spread·closes in 3d

Chicago WS wins by over 2.5 runs?

YES means Chicago WS wins by over 2.5 runs

24h volume
25.4k
26.2k lifetime
Open interest
15.6k
+15.8k over 7d
Spread
2¢
857 × 563 at the touch
24h range
15¢ – 94¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
94%

A YES contract costs 95¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
6%

costs 7¢

YES bid / ask
93¢ / 95¢
NO bid / ask
5¢ / 7¢
24h low 15¢24h high 94¢
Recent buying59% YES · 41% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
25¢50¢75¢100¢volSep 20, 6:00 PMSep 21, 12:00 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask57599¢
  • ask198¢
  • ask7,22297¢
  • ask65496¢
  • ask1,37895¢
spread2¢mid 94¢
  • bid85693¢
  • bid58990¢
  • bid41089¢
  • bid41788¢
  • bid580¢
  • bid25078¢
  • bid177¢
  • bid19269¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Chicago WS wins by more than 2.5 runs in the Detroit vs Chicago WS professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 20, 2026 at 2:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Sep 19 · 7:00 PM UTC
closes
Sep 23 · 6:10 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Sep 20 · 9:10 PM UTC
floor
2.5
ticker
KXMLBSPREAD-26SEP201410DETCWS-CWS3
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 59% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
6m ago94¢167bought no
6m ago94¢66bought no
9m ago94¢45bought yes
9m ago94¢100bought yes
9m ago94¢195bought yes
9m ago94¢200bought yes
11m ago92¢9.29bought no
13m ago92¢486bought no
13m ago92¢73bought no
15m ago90¢94bought no
17m ago93¢2.14bought yes
18m ago91¢16bought yes
20m ago91¢1.09bought yes
22m ago91¢190bought yes
23m ago90¢1.23bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.