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KXMLBSPREAD·closed · YES

Arizona wins by over 2.5 runs?

YES means Arizona wins by over 2.5 runs

24h volume
16.6k
16.6k lifetime
Open interest
9,234
Spread
100¢
0 × 0 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
99%+76

A YES contract costs 100¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
1%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 100¢
NO bid / ask
0¢ / 100¢
Recent buying87% YES · 13% NO

This market is closed and resolved YES. Prices shown are the last ones traded.

What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Arizona wins by more than 2.5 runs in the New York Y vs Arizona professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 20, 2026 at 4:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Sep 19 · 7:00 PM UTC
closes
Sep 20 · 11:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Sep 20 · 11:10 PM UTC
floor
2.5
ticker
KXMLBSPREAD-26SEP201610NYYAZ-AZ3
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 87% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
42m ago99¢1.2bought no
44m ago99¢84bought no
45m ago99¢43bought yes
45m ago99¢19bought yes
45m ago99¢10bought yes
45m ago96¢1bought yes
45m ago97¢1bought yes
45m ago99¢1bought yes
45m ago99¢1bought yes
45m ago99¢14bought yes
45m ago99¢150bought yes
45m ago99¢400bought yes
45m ago96¢1bought yes
45m ago97¢1bought yes
45m ago99¢2bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.