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Pro Baseball Spread·closes in 3d

Baltimore wins by over 3.5 runs?

YES means Baltimore wins by over 3.5 runs

24h volume
7,929
7,929 lifetime
Open interest
7,368
Spread
1¢
0 × 2,658 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
1%

A YES contract costs 1¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
99%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 1¢
NO bid / ask
99¢ / 100¢
Recent buying58% YES · 42% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,05616¢
  • ask111¢
  • ask210¢
  • ask317¢
  • ask504¢
  • ask3003¢
  • ask7,5412¢
  • ask2,6581¢
spread–mid –
    Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

    How this market resolves

    Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

    If Baltimore wins by more than 3.5 runs in the Milwaukee vs Baltimore professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 20, 2026 at 7:20 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

    Settlement sources
    opened
    Sep 19 · 10:20 PM UTC
    closes
    Sep 23 · 11:20 PM UTC · may close early
    settles by
    Sep 21 · 2:20 AM UTC
    floor
    3.5
    ticker
    KXMLBSPREAD-26SEP201920MILBAL-BAL4
    Trade it on kalshi.com

    Other outcomes in this event

    Outcomes in this event settle independently.

    Recent trades

    Over the last 50 trades, 58% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

    WhenYESContractsSide
    8m ago1¢15bought yes
    22m ago1¢45bought no
    24m ago1¢5bought no
    24m ago2¢50bought yes
    24m ago2¢100bought yes
    24m ago2¢118bought yes
    24m ago2¢200bought yes
    31m ago1¢50bought no
    34m ago3¢25bought yes
    34m ago3¢100bought yes
    37m ago2¢100bought yes
    37m ago2¢50bought yes
    42m ago1¢7bought no
    42m ago1¢198bought no
    42m ago1¢300bought no

    Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.