Pro Baseball Spread·closes in 4d

Detroit wins by over 1.5 runs?

YES means Detroit wins by over 1.5 runs

24h volume
617
617 lifetime
Open interest
617
+617 over 7d
Spread
16 × 11.9k at the touch
24h range
39¢ – 41¢
18 recent trades
Chance of YES
39%

A YES contract costs 41¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
61%

costs 60¢

YES bid / ask
40¢ / 41¢
NO bid / ask
59¢ / 60¢
24h low 39¢24h high 41¢
Recent buying92% YES · 8% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

35¢40¢45¢volSep 21, 2:00 AMSep 21, 3:00 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask11348¢
  • ask42247¢
  • ask59046¢
  • ask51645¢
  • ask1,53444¢
  • ask18.7k43¢
  • ask35.2k42¢
  • ask11.9k41¢
spreadmid 41¢
  • bid1640¢
  • bid2,47339¢
  • bid31.4k38¢
  • bid9,86837¢
  • bid21.5k36¢
  • bid89535¢
  • bid15734¢
  • bid12133¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Detroit wins by more than 1.5 runs in the Washington vs Detroit professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 21, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Sep 21 · 12:00 AM UTC
closes
Sep 24 · 10:40 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Sep 22 · 1:40 AM UTC
floor
1.5
ticker
KXMLBSPREAD-26SEP211840WSHDET-DET2
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 18 trades, 92% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
29m ago39¢22bought no
29m ago39¢9bought no
48m ago41¢37bought yes
48m ago40¢5bought yes
48m ago40¢201bought yes
48m ago41¢1bought yes
1h ago40¢19bought yes
1h ago40¢33bought yes
1h ago40¢94bought yes
1h ago40¢101bought yes
1h ago40¢37bought yes
1h ago40¢11bought yes
1h ago40¢3.74bought yes
2h ago39¢2.15bought no
2h ago39¢14bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.