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Fighters to comepete in MVP event·closes in 4mo

Jake Paul to compete in the MVP (Most Valuable Promotions) MMA before 2027?

YES means Jake Paul

24h volume
0.85
2,559 lifetime
Open interest
1,880
+0.85 over 7d
Spread
39¢
5 × 5 at the touch
24h range
9¢ – 9¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
9%

A YES contract costs 42¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
91%

costs 97¢

YES bid / ask
3¢ / 42¢
NO bid / ask
58¢ / 97¢
24h low 9¢24h high 9¢
Recent buying40% YES · 60% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢25¢50¢volSep 14Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask44289¢
  • ask5088¢
  • ask1.0477¢
  • ask1,41775¢
  • ask773¢
  • ask1,00049¢
  • ask543¢
  • ask542¢
spread39¢mid 23¢
  • bid53¢
  • bid52¢
  • bid51¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Jake Paul competes in the MVP (Most Valuable Promotions) MMA before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 30 · 6:30 PM UTC
closes
Jan 8, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXMMACOMPETE-27JAN-JPAU
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 40% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
10h ago9¢0.85bought no
1d ago9¢3.15bought yes
1d ago9¢1.04bought yes
10d ago4¢5bought no
10d ago5¢4.19bought no
13d ago8¢100bought no
13d ago9¢3bought yes
13d ago9¢100bought no
13d ago11¢100bought no
14d ago12¢78bought yes
14d ago48¢8.96bought yes
14d ago47¢3bought yes
14d ago17¢10bought yes
14d ago11¢100bought yes
14d ago11¢100bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.