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Altria Group Annual KPI·closes in 19mo

Will Altria Group Inc. report Above 58.5 billion domestic cigarette shipments in 2026?

YES means Above 58.5 billion

24h volume
0
1,038 lifetime
Open interest
694
Spread
6¢
5 × 9.66 at the touch
24h range
–
23 recent trades
Chance of YES
46%

A YES contract costs 49¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
54%

costs 57¢

YES bid / ask
43¢ / 49¢
NO bid / ask
51¢ / 57¢
Recent buying88% YES · 12% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask2099¢
  • ask1498¢
  • ask9.381¢
  • ask32880¢
  • ask9.4775¢
  • ask20050¢
  • ask9.6649¢
spread6¢mid 46¢
  • bid543¢
  • bid20040¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Altria Group Inc. reports Above 58500000000.0 domestic cigarette shipments in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Jun 9 · 10:17 PM UTC
closes
Mar 31, 2028 · 5:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 31, 2028 · 9:00 PM UTC
floor
58500000000
ticker
KXMOA-28JANCIGS-58500000000.0
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 23 trades, 88% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
6d ago46¢9.66bought no
6d ago51¢9.47bought yes
7d ago50¢9.66bought yes
8d ago75¢2.18bought yes
8d ago46¢200bought yes
8d ago79¢3.55bought yes
9d ago52¢9.3bought yes
10d ago51¢1.67bought yes
10d ago52¢0.2bought yes
17d ago21¢3bought no
17d ago20¢3.33bought no
17d ago46¢3.33bought yes
17d ago45¢3bought yes
1mo ago22¢21bought no
1mo ago47¢5bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.