Will the next James Bond be released in the USA before Jul 1, 2027?
YES means Before Jul 1, 2027
- 24h volume
- 0
- 5,877 lifetime
- Open interest
- 1,807
- +0 over 7d
- Spread
- 1¢
- 100 × 5 at the touch
- 24h range
- –
A YES contract costs 7¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 94¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
Order book unavailable.
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If next James Bond has been publicly released in the USA through official channels before Before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
This is for the next film in the James Bond series, which goes back to Dr. No (1962); spin-offs and unauthorized productions are not included. The media must be made available to the general public through at least one official distribution channel, including theatrical release, streaming availability, physical media (DVD, Blu-ray), or authorized digital purchase/download. The release must be accessible without special invitations or industry credentials in at least one major metropolitan area if the geography refers to a country. Private screenings, film festivals, leaked content, and torrent availability do not qualify. Trailers and soundtracks do not satisfy the criterion unless the full media is released. Different versions or formats of the same base content (theatrical, director's cut, extended edition) are considered the same media if the core content is substantially identical. Foreign language titles are considered the same media unless otherwise specified.
- Deadline
- Entertainment Weekly
- streaming platform for media in geography
- The Source Agencies are
- Fox News
- The Information
- MSNBC
- Semafor
- Bloomberg News
- The Wall Street Journal
- ABC
- in hierarchical order
- The Hollywood Reporter
- official website or verified social media account of the media distributor in geography
- Reuters
- Axios
- IMDb
- Spotify
- Netflix
- Variety
- CNN
- The New York Times
- NBC
- Politico
- The Washington Post
- the Associated Press
- CBS
- film studios responsible for the production of media
- opened
- Aug 26 · 7:09 PM UTC
- closes
- Jul 1, 2027 · 3:59 AM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Jan 1, 2030 · 3:00 PM UTC
- ticker
- KXMOVIERELEASEDATE-007-27JUL01
Other outcomes in this event
Outcomes in this event settle independently.
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.