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when will movie release·closes in 3mo

Will A Knight of the Seven Kingdoms: Season 2 be released None before Jan 1, 2027?

YES means Before Jan 1, 2027

24h volume
0
40 lifetime
Open interest
40
Spread
63¢
5 × 36 at the touch
24h range
–
2 recent trades
Chance of YES
13%

A YES contract costs 65¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
87%

costs 98¢

YES bid / ask
2¢ / 65¢
NO bid / ask
35¢ / 98¢
Recent buying100% YES · 0% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask9999¢
  • ask20092¢
  • ask5191¢
  • ask3.3690¢
  • ask3665¢
spread63¢mid 34¢
  • bid52¢
  • bid501¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If A Knight of the Seven Kingdoms: Season 2 has been publicly released through official channels before Before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

The media must be made available to the general public through at least one official distribution channel, including theatrical release, streaming availability, physical media (DVD, Blu-ray), or authorized digital purchase/download. The release must be accessible without special invitations or industry credentials in at least one major metropolitan area if the geography refers to a country. Private screenings, film festivals, leaked content, and torrent availability do not qualify. Trailers and soundtracks do not satisfy the criterion unless the full media is released. Different versions or formats of the same base content (theatrical, director's cut, extended edition) are considered the same media if the core content is substantially identical. Foreign language titles are considered the same media unless otherwise specified.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 23 · 10:25 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2027 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXMOVIERELEASEDATE-IKN-27JAN01
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 2 trades, 100% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
5d ago13¢36bought yes
1mo ago14¢3.36bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.