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music report·closes in 15mo

Will ARIRANG be #1 on Luminate's 2026 Year-End Music Report: Top 10-Selling Albums of 2026 in U.S. (Physical & Digital Sales Combined), as Published by Billboard?

YES means ARIRANG

24h volume
0
4,649 lifetime
Open interest
2,240
Spread
5¢
1.9 × 5 at the touch
24h range
–
43 recent trades
Chance of YES
76%

A YES contract costs 74¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
24%

costs 31¢

YES bid / ask
69¢ / 74¢
NO bid / ask
26¢ / 31¢
Recent buying84% YES · 16% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask6.5592¢
  • ask34991¢
  • ask9789¢
  • ask16887¢
  • ask6086¢
  • ask2284¢
  • ask10075¢
  • ask574¢
spread5¢mid 72¢
  • bid1.969¢
  • bid10068¢
  • bid20067¢
  • bid50051¢
  • bid15048¢
  • bid58914¢
  • bid2,39613¢
  • bid5,1503¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If ARIRANG is ranked #1 on Luminate's 2026 Year-End Music Report: Top 10-Selling Albums of 2026 in U.S. (Physical & Digital Sales Combined), as Published by Billboard, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Jun 19 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 26, 2027 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXMUSICREPORT-TOPSALE27DEC31-ARI
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 101¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 43 trades, 84% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2d ago76¢1.9bought yes
6d ago75¢0.13bought yes
7d ago70¢6.63bought no
8d ago74¢6.63bought yes
17d ago68¢2.62bought no
17d ago75¢2.62bought yes
20d ago68¢2.78bought no
21d ago75¢27bought yes
24d ago75¢2.62bought yes
25d ago70¢158bought yes
25d ago70¢4.72bought no
29d ago67¢100bought no
29d ago69¢100bought no
29d ago69¢20bought no
1mo ago75¢6.55bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.