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NBA Player Assists·closes in 2d

Marcus Smart: 2+ assists

YES means Marcus Smart: 2+

24h volume
63
63 lifetime
Open interest
63
+60 over 7d
Spread
5¢
120 × 420 at the touch
24h range
56¢ – 81¢
17 recent trades
Chance of YES
56%

A YES contract costs 65¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
44%

costs 40¢

YES bid / ask
60¢ / 65¢
NO bid / ask
35¢ / 40¢
24h low 56¢24h high 81¢
Recent buying100% YES · 0% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
60¢70¢80¢volNov 4, 9:00 PMNov 5, 2:00 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask15299¢
  • ask18897¢
  • ask3196¢
  • ask2695¢
  • ask3394¢
  • ask1793¢
  • ask42065¢
spread5¢mid 63¢
  • bid12060¢
  • bid30036¢
  • bid20031¢
  • bid322¢
  • bid207¢
  • bid415¢
  • bid402¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Marcus Smart records 2+ assists in the Minnesota vs Houston Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Note: If a player is inactive, or active but never takes the court, the market settles to a fair price. Once a player enters the game the market settles based on the player's assists recorded. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 4 · 4:21 AM UTC
closes
Nov 7 · 1:30 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 7:30 AM UTC
floor
1.5
ticker
KXNBAAST-26NOV04MINHOU-HOUMSMART36-2
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 17 trades, 100% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
11m ago56¢1bought yes
14m ago73¢1bought yes
20m ago73¢1bought yes
51m ago81¢0.11bought no
51m ago75¢3bought yes
51m ago63¢1bought yes
2h ago67¢2.5bought yes
2h ago67¢0.5bought yes
2h ago67¢5bought yes
2h ago66¢1bought yes
2h ago68¢13bought yes
4h ago65¢9.01bought yes
4h ago66¢14bought yes
4h ago64¢2.77bought yes
4h ago64¢3bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.