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NBA Spread·closes in 2d

Cleveland wins by over 3.5 points

24h volume
5,339
5,516 lifetime
Open interest
3,727
Spread
1¢
85 × 98 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
4%−32

A YES contract costs 2¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
96%

costs 99¢

YES bid / ask
1¢ / 2¢
NO bid / ask
98¢ / 99¢
Recent buying32% YES · 68% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask2,00013¢
  • ask1,00712¢
  • ask1,20311¢
  • ask2558¢
  • ask8006¢
  • ask2,0004¢
  • ask5573¢
  • ask982¢
spread1¢mid 2¢
  • bid851¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Cleveland wins by more than 3.5 points in the Cleveland vs Oklahoma City Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 3 · 7:19 AM UTC
closes
Nov 7 · 1:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 4:00 AM UTC
floor
3.5
ticker
KXNBASPREAD-26NOV04CLEOKC-CLE4
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 32% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
3m ago4¢4bought yes
3m ago2¢3bought no
3m ago2¢91bought no
8m ago5¢1bought no
8m ago8¢4bought no
11m ago7¢971bought no
14m ago4¢24bought no
14m ago4¢24bought no
15m ago7¢100bought no
15m ago7¢80bought no
23m ago8¢1bought no
24m ago8¢90bought no
25m ago9¢2bought no
26m ago13¢3bought no
26m ago25¢33bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.