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NBA Spread·closes in 2d

Philadelphia wins by over 14.5 points

24h volume
33.7k
33.7k lifetime
Open interest
15.1k
+8,410 over 7d
Spread
4¢
0 × 100 at the touch
24h range
1¢ – 45¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
1%

A YES contract costs 4¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
99%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 4¢
NO bid / ask
96¢ / 100¢
24h low 1¢24h high 45¢
Recent buying99% YES · 1% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
10¢20¢30¢volNov 4, 1:00 PMNov 5, 2:00 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask220¢
  • ask25016¢
  • ask1,00014¢
  • ask111¢
  • ask25010¢
  • ask109¢
  • ask925¢
  • ask1004¢
spread–mid –
    Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

    How this market resolves

    Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

    If Philadelphia wins by more than 14.5 points in the Philadelphia vs Detroit Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

    If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

    Settlement sources
    opened
    Nov 3 · 4:41 AM UTC
    closes
    Nov 7 · 12:00 AM UTC · may close early
    settles by
    Nov 5 · 3:00 AM UTC
    floor
    14.5
    ticker
    KXNBASPREAD-26NOV04PHIDET-PHI15
    Trade it on kalshi.com

    Other outcomes in this event

    Outcomes in this event settle independently.

    Recent trades

    Over the last 50 trades, 99% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

    WhenYESContractsSide
    7m ago1¢35bought yes
    10m ago5¢1.87bought yes
    10m ago1¢10bought yes
    10m ago1¢74bought yes
    12m ago1¢13bought yes
    12m ago1¢5bought yes
    12m ago1¢148bought yes
    12m ago1¢12bought yes
    12m ago1¢100bought yes
    12m ago1¢148bought yes
    12m ago1¢11bought yes
    12m ago1¢100bought yes
    12m ago1¢95bought yes
    12m ago1¢75bought yes
    12m ago1¢186bought yes

    Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.