NBA Spread·closes in 2d

New Orleans wins by over 8.5 points

24h volume
6,044
10.3k lifetime
Open interest
3,113
+2,611 over 7d
Spread
2¢
100 × 166 at the touch
24h range
9¢ – 52¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
11%

A YES contract costs 11¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
89%

costs 91¢

YES bid / ask
9¢ / 11¢
NO bid / ask
89¢ / 91¢
24h low 9¢24h high 52¢
Recent buying53% YES · 47% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

30¢35¢40¢45¢50¢volNov 4, 10:00 PMNov 5, 2:00 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,02521¢
  • ask1,20020¢
  • ask25018¢
  • ask5217¢
  • ask1,50516¢
  • ask1,58313¢
  • ask11512¢
  • ask16611¢
spread2¢mid 10¢
  • bid1009¢
  • bid938¢
  • bid6847¢
  • bid1,5006¢
  • bid2504¢
  • bid5,5253¢
  • bid4,2502¢
  • bid4,1101¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If New Orleans wins by more than 8.5 points in the Utah vs New Orleans Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 4 · 12:29 AM UTC
closes
Nov 7 · 1:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 4:00 AM UTC
floor
8.5
ticker
KXNBASPREAD-26NOV04UTANOP-NOP9
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 53% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2m ago11¢75bought no
2m ago11¢15bought no
3m ago14¢93bought yes
3m ago15¢1,907bought yes
3m ago12¢2,000bought no
4m ago14¢38bought yes
4m ago14¢89bought yes
4m ago14¢0.03bought yes
4m ago14¢5bought yes
4m ago15¢10bought yes
4m ago15¢54bought no
4m ago16¢54bought no
5m ago14¢498bought yes
5m ago13¢31bought yes
5m ago13¢95bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.