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College Football Spread·closes in 2d

Toledo wins by over 10.5 points

24h volume
58.5k
62.8k lifetime
Open interest
37.9k
Spread
1¢
21.7k × 2,559 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
42%

A YES contract costs 42¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
58%

costs 59¢

YES bid / ask
41¢ / 42¢
NO bid / ask
58¢ / 59¢
Recent buying40% YES · 60% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask24.7k49¢
  • ask16.3k48¢
  • ask18547¢
  • ask11.9k46¢
  • ask16.8k45¢
  • ask2,16944¢
  • ask7,49043¢
  • ask2,55942¢
spread1¢mid 42¢
  • bid21.7k41¢
  • bid6,73140¢
  • bid11.5k39¢
  • bid4,89038¢
  • bid9336¢
  • bid2,79135¢
  • bid24.0k34¢
  • bid19.9k33¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Toledo wins by more than 10.5 points in the Toledo vs Sacramento St. college football game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 1 · 1:06 AM UTC
closes
Nov 7 · 12:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 3:00 AM UTC
floor
10.5
ticker
KXNCAAFSPREAD-26NOV04TOLSAC-TOL11
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 40% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
27s ago42¢84bought yes
27s ago42¢145bought yes
50s ago42¢16bought yes
1m ago42¢1,000bought yes
1m ago42¢87bought yes
1m ago42¢24bought yes
2m ago40¢24bought no
2m ago47¢10bought yes
2m ago40¢506bought yes
2m ago40¢843bought no
2m ago40¢268bought no
2m ago40¢29bought no
2m ago43¢102bought no
2m ago43¢192bought no
2m ago44¢304bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.