College Football Spread·closes in 5d

Duke wins by over 6.5 points

24h volume
963
1,230 lifetime
Open interest
1,217
Spread
1¢
3,611 × 3,971 at the touch
24h range
–
17 recent trades
Chance of YES
45%+1

A YES contract costs 46¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
55%

costs 55¢

YES bid / ask
45¢ / 46¢
NO bid / ask
54¢ / 55¢
Recent buying7% YES · 93% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask12555¢
  • ask11653¢
  • ask1051¢
  • ask31450¢
  • ask19.3k49¢
  • ask7,98648¢
  • ask6,91647¢
  • ask3,97146¢
spread1¢mid 45¢
  • bid3,61145¢
  • bid6,44444¢
  • bid3,89843¢
  • bid8,19842¢
  • bid5,04141¢
  • bid3,84840¢
  • bid2539¢
  • bid138¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Duke wins by more than 6.5 points in the Duke vs NC St. college football game originally scheduled for Nov 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

opened
Nov 1 · 8:07 AM UTC
closes
Nov 9 · 5:30 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 7 · 8:30 PM UTC
floor
6.5
ticker
KXNCAAFSPREAD-26NOV07DUKENCST-DUKE7
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 17 trades, 7% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
5h ago45¢889bought no
5h ago45¢19bought no
11h ago44¢55bought yes
2d ago44¢10bought yes
2d ago44¢10bought yes
3d ago44¢75bought no
3d ago44¢90bought no
3d ago44¢50bought no
3d ago45¢4bought no
3d ago45¢1.77bought no
3d ago47¢1bought no
3d ago48¢11bought no
3d ago46¢0.88bought no
4d ago51¢3.48bought yes
4d ago51¢3.26bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.