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Team to Make the College Football Playoffs before 2030·closes in 40mo

Will North Dakota St. qualify for the CFP after Issuance and before the 2030-31 season?

YES means North Dakota St. reach the CFP before 2030

24h volume
665
5,901 lifetime
Open interest
4,321
+1,167 over 7d
Spread
1¢
2,800 × 1,069 at the touch
24h range
23¢ – 24¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
24%

A YES contract costs 24¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
76%

costs 77¢

YES bid / ask
23¢ / 24¢
NO bid / ask
76¢ / 77¢
24h low 23¢24h high 24¢
Recent buying96% YES · 4% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
15¢20¢25¢30¢volSep 14Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,05099¢
  • ask2091¢
  • ask3,58789¢
  • ask1,06924¢
spread1¢mid 24¢
  • bid2,80023¢
  • bid13518¢
  • bid2857¢
  • bid3336¢
  • bid2,0865¢
  • bid5004¢
  • bid6663¢
  • bid7502¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the North Dakota St. football team qualifies for the College Football Playoffs after Issuance and before the 2030-31 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Aug 19 · 7:29 PM UTC
closes
Jan 8, 2030 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2030 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXNCAAFTFUT-30NDSU-Y
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in North Dakota St. to Reach the CFP before the 2030 season.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 96% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
8h ago24¢396bought yes
8h ago24¢79bought yes
11h ago24¢32bought yes
24h ago24¢20bought yes
1d ago24¢99bought yes
1d ago24¢40bought yes
1d ago24¢92bought yes
1d ago24¢28bought yes
1d ago24¢1.97bought yes
2d ago24¢52bought yes
3d ago24¢37bought yes
4d ago23¢0.78bought no
4d ago23¢19bought no
5d ago24¢36bought yes
5d ago24¢100bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.