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Men's College Basketball Game·closes in 2d

Milwaukee wins

YES means Milwaukee

24h volume
66.3k
72.3k lifetime
Open interest
68.4k
+38.0k over 7d
Spread
1¢
2,546 × 277 at the touch
24h range
1¢ – 9¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
3%−2

A YES contract costs 2¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
97%

costs 99¢

YES bid / ask
1¢ / 2¢
NO bid / ask
98¢ / 99¢
24h low 1¢24h high 9¢
Recent buying100% YES · 0% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢5¢10¢volNov 3, 1:00 AMNov 5, 3:00 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask3,23710¢
  • ask5539¢
  • ask3,1538¢
  • ask107¢
  • ask866¢
  • ask3,1345¢
  • ask2,8774¢
  • ask16.7k3¢
spread2¢mid 2¢
  • bid2,5461¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Milwaukee wins the Milwaukee vs Santa Clara men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, both markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 1 · 4:33 AM UTC
closes
Nov 7 · 3:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 6:00 AM UTC
ticker
KXNCAAMBGAME-26NOV04MILWSCU-MILW
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 101¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 100% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
17s ago3¢156bought yes
34s ago3¢10bought yes
42s ago3¢31bought yes
1m ago3¢7.8bought yes
2m ago2¢100bought yes
2m ago3¢200bought yes
2m ago2¢120bought yes
2m ago2¢100bought yes
2m ago3¢824bought yes
3m ago1¢1bought no
3m ago2¢2bought yes
3m ago3¢92bought yes
4m ago3¢6.24bought yes
4m ago2¢100bought yes
4m ago2¢5bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.