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Men's College Basketball Game·closes in 3d

Indiana wins

YES means Indiana

24h volume
349
2,280 lifetime
Open interest
2,090
+2,070 over 7d
Spread
1¢
8,708 × 101 at the touch
24h range
98¢ – 99¢
34 recent trades
Chance of YES
99%

A YES contract costs 99¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
1%

costs 2¢

YES bid / ask
98¢ / 99¢
NO bid / ask
1¢ / 2¢
24h low 98¢24h high 99¢
Recent buying86% YES · 14% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
85¢90¢95¢100¢volNov 2, 8:00 PMNov 5, 3:00 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask10199¢
spread1¢mid 99¢
  • bid8,70898¢
  • bid5,30797¢
  • bid12.0k96¢
  • bid6595¢
  • bid694¢
  • bid1092¢
  • bid3390¢
  • bid12688¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Indiana wins the Bellarmine vs Indiana men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, both markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 1 · 11:22 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7 · 11:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 6 · 2:00 AM UTC
ticker
KXNCAAMBGAME-26NOV05BELLIND-IND
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 101¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 34 trades, 86% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
25m ago99¢1bought yes
28m ago99¢19bought yes
47m ago99¢11bought yes
1h ago99¢13bought yes
1h ago99¢3.96bought yes
2h ago99¢5.04bought no
2h ago99¢85bought no
2h ago99¢0.01bought no
8h ago99¢5bought no
8h ago99¢10bought no
14h ago99¢94bought no
21h ago98¢100bought no
24h ago99¢1bought yes
24h ago99¢1bought yes
24h ago99¢0.76bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.