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Men's College Basketball Game·closes in 3d

Penn wins

YES means Penn

24h volume
923
1,642 lifetime
Open interest
1,516
Spread
1¢
2,514 × 34.1k at the touch
24h range
–
22 recent trades
Chance of YES
2%+1

A YES contract costs 2¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
98%

costs 99¢

YES bid / ask
1¢ / 2¢
NO bid / ask
98¢ / 99¢
Recent buying88% YES · 12% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1011¢
  • ask208¢
  • ask197¢
  • ask56¢
  • ask29.2k5¢
  • ask1,6884¢
  • ask3,7213¢
  • ask34.1k2¢
spread1¢mid 2¢
  • bid2,5141¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Penn wins the Penn vs Illinois men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, both markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 2 · 2:28 AM UTC
closes
Nov 8 · 1:30 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 6 · 4:30 AM UTC
ticker
KXNCAAMBGAME-26NOV05PENNILL-PENN
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 101¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 22 trades, 88% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
56m ago2¢342bought yes
56m ago2¢47bought yes
56m ago2¢79bought yes
1h ago2¢47bought yes
2h ago2¢23bought yes
2h ago2¢47bought yes
3h ago2¢100bought yes
6h ago2¢94bought yes
11h ago2¢120bought yes
21h ago2¢23bought yes
1d ago2¢1.4bought yes
1d ago1¢47bought no
1d ago2¢47bought yes
1d ago2¢119bought yes
1d ago2¢94bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.