galdor.xyz
Admin
Men's College Basketball Game·closes in 3d

Toledo wins

YES means Toledo

24h volume
1,787
2,108 lifetime
Open interest
2,084
+2,014 over 7d
Spread
1¢
5,230 × 6,667 at the touch
24h range
1¢ – 3¢
27 recent trades
Chance of YES
2%+1

A YES contract costs 2¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
98%

costs 99¢

YES bid / ask
1¢ / 2¢
NO bid / ask
98¢ / 99¢
24h low 1¢24h high 3¢
Recent buying79% YES · 21% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢5¢10¢volNov 2, 3:00 PMNov 5, 3:00 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask5509¢
  • ask208¢
  • ask4007¢
  • ask1906¢
  • ask15.9k5¢
  • ask12.5k4¢
  • ask7,7823¢
  • ask6,6672¢
spread1¢mid 2¢
  • bid5,2301¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Toledo wins the Toledo vs Michigan St. men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, both markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 2 · 2:27 AM UTC
closes
Nov 8 · 1:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 6 · 4:00 AM UTC
ticker
KXNCAAMBGAME-26NOV05TOLMSU-TOL
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 27 trades, 79% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
31m ago2¢23bought yes
39m ago2¢47bought yes
5h ago2¢94bought yes
13h ago1¢56bought no
13h ago1¢182bought no
13h ago2¢56bought no
13h ago1¢0.01bought no
15h ago3¢20bought yes
19h ago3¢40bought yes
20h ago3¢16bought yes
21h ago3¢20bought yes
22h ago2¢100bought yes
22h ago2¢744bought yes
22h ago2¢100bought yes
22h ago2¢125bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.