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Men's College Basketball Spread·closes in 2d

South Dakota wins by over 1.5 points

24h volume
2,615
3,077 lifetime
Open interest
1,373
+1,373 over 7d
Spread
1¢
0 × 2,803 at the touch
24h range
1¢ – 46¢
41 recent trades
Chance of YES
10%−28

A YES contract costs 1¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
90%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 1¢
NO bid / ask
99¢ / 100¢
24h low 1¢24h high 46¢
Recent buying64% YES · 36% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢10¢20¢30¢40¢volNov 4, 2:00 AMNov 5, 3:00 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask21242¢
  • ask2739¢
  • ask14016¢
  • ask111¢
  • ask1,00010¢
  • ask2506¢
  • ask4002¢
  • ask2,8031¢
spread–mid –
    Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

    How this market resolves

    Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

    If South Dakota wins by more than 1.5 points in the Northern Kentucky vs South Dakota men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

    If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

    Settlement sources
    opened
    Nov 3 · 11:06 PM UTC
    closes
    Nov 7 · 1:00 AM UTC · may close early
    settles by
    Nov 5 · 4:00 AM UTC
    floor
    1.5
    ticker
    KXNCAAMBSPREAD-26NOV04NKUSDAK-SDAK2
    Trade it on kalshi.com

    Other outcomes in this event

    Outcomes in this event settle independently.

    Recent trades

    Over the last 41 trades, 64% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

    WhenYESContractsSide
    3m ago10¢104bought yes
    3m ago6¢250bought yes
    3m ago1¢5bought yes
    3m ago1¢100bought yes
    26m ago1¢2bought no
    33m ago1¢86bought no
    33m ago1¢8bought no
    33m ago1¢100bought no
    33m ago1¢15bought no
    33m ago2¢65bought no
    34m ago4¢35bought no
    38m ago6¢20bought no
    40m ago11¢12bought no
    43m ago16¢7bought no
    44m ago21¢5bought no

    Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.