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Men's College Basketball Spread·closes in 3d

Duke wins by over 23.5 points

24h volume
101
101 lifetime
Open interest
101
+101 over 7d
Spread
11¢
29 × 1 at the touch
24h range
82¢ – 90¢
7 recent trades
Chance of YES
90%

A YES contract costs 87¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
10%

costs 24¢

YES bid / ask
76¢ / 87¢
NO bid / ask
13¢ / 24¢
24h low 82¢24h high 90¢
Recent buying40% YES · 60% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
60¢70¢80¢90¢volNov 5, 3:00 AMNov 5, 5:00 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask32698¢
  • ask1095¢
  • ask3494¢
  • ask53693¢
  • ask19092¢
  • ask3091¢
  • ask490¢
  • ask187¢
spread11¢mid 82¢
  • bid2976¢
  • bid5075¢
  • bid1174¢
  • bid4773¢
  • bid170¢
  • bid169¢
  • bid266¢
  • bid665¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Duke wins by more than 23.5 points in the Coastal Carolina vs Duke men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 4 · 11:08 PM UTC
closes
Nov 8 · 1:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 6 · 4:00 AM UTC
floor
23.5
ticker
KXNCAAMBSPREAD-26NOV05CCARDUKE-DUKE24
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 7 trades, 40% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1h ago90¢11bought yes
1h ago90¢22bought yes
1h ago89¢6bought yes
2h ago89¢1.11bought yes
3h ago86¢25bought no
3h ago86¢25bought no
3h ago82¢10bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.