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Men's College Basketball Spread·closes in 3d

Arizona wins by over 33.5 points

24h volume
46
46 lifetime
Open interest
46
+0 over 7d
Spread
2¢
28 × 83 at the touch
24h range
50¢ – 57¢
4 recent trades
Chance of YES
57%

A YES contract costs 42¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
43%

costs 60¢

YES bid / ask
40¢ / 42¢
NO bid / ask
58¢ / 60¢
24h low 50¢24h high 57¢
Recent buying100% YES · 0% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
30¢40¢50¢60¢volNov 5, 12:00 AMNov 5, 4:00 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask24457¢
  • ask26856¢
  • ask20255¢
  • ask153¢
  • ask2851¢
  • ask650¢
  • ask4345¢
  • ask8342¢
spread2¢mid 41¢
  • bid2840¢
  • bid12538¢
  • bid4637¢
  • bid2533¢
  • bid130¢
  • bid2527¢
  • bid14025¢
  • bid7924¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Arizona wins by more than 33.5 points in the Cal Poly vs Arizona men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 4 · 11:11 PM UTC
closes
Nov 8 · 3:30 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 6 · 6:30 AM UTC
floor
33.5
ticker
KXNCAAMBSPREAD-26NOV05CPARIZ-ARIZ34
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 4 trades, 100% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
5h ago57¢16bought yes
5h ago51¢10bought yes
5h ago50¢10bought yes
5h ago50¢10bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.