Next Deputy Attorney General?·closes in 16mo

Will Colin M. McDonald be the next Deputy Attorney General before Jan 1, 2028?

YES means Colin M. McDonald

24h volume: 0; 27 lifetime
Open interest: 27; +0 over 7d
Spread: 7¢; 200 × 200 at the touch
24h range: –; 1 recent trades

Chance of YES

13%

A YES contract costs 14¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

87%

costs 93¢

YES bid / ask

7¢ / 14¢

NO bid / ask

86¢ / 93¢

Recent buying100% YES · 0% NO

What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.

2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.

3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h 7d 30d 90d

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes

ask3,50098¢
ask2,39097¢
ask1,05486¢
ask20085¢
ask58564¢
ask64158¢
ask26253¢
ask20014¢

spread7¢mid 11¢

bid2007¢
bid352¢
bid501¢

Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Colin M. McDonald formally holds the position of Deputy Attorney General before Jan 1, 2028, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.

The holder of the position at the time of Issuance is excluded. For the purposes of this Contract, only a subject who holds the position in a permanent, confirmed, elected, or otherwise non-acting and non-temporary capacity—as formally designated by the body or organization at which the position is held—is treated as formally holding the position; assumption of the role solely in an acting, interim, transitional, provisional, caretaker, pro tempore, or otherwise temporary capacity does not, by itself, satisfy the Payout Criterion.

Settlement sources

Department of Justice

opened: Aug 10 · 3:19 PM UTC
closes: Jan 8, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by: Jan 8, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker: KXNEXTDEPUTYAG-28JAN01-CMCD

Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 65¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 1 trades, 100% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

When	YES	Contracts	Side
1mo ago	13¢	27	bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.