Who will be the next Romanian PM?·closes in 223mo

Will Cătălin Predoiu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

YES means Cătălin Predoiu

24h volume
0
4,397 lifetime
Open interest
320
+0 over 7d
Spread
19¢
100 × 75 at the touch
24h range
10 recent trades
Chance of YES
1%

A YES contract costs 20¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
99%

costs 99¢

YES bid / ask
/ 20¢
NO bid / ask
80¢ / 99¢
Recent buying0% YES · 100% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

0¢10¢20¢30¢volSep 14Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask5060¢
  • ask2545¢
  • ask1638¢
  • ask50437¢
  • ask435¢
  • ask2330¢
  • ask2325¢
  • ask7520¢
spread19¢mid 10¢
  • bid100
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the first new person to hold Prime Minister of Romania after Issuance is Cătălin Predoiu, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
May 5 · 6:15 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2045 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2045 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXNEXTROMANIAPM-45JAN01-CPRE
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 174¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 10 trades, 0% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
19d ago7bought no
20d ago100bought no
22d ago100bought no
23d ago100bought no
24d ago100bought no
24d ago100bought no
26d ago100bought no
27d ago100bought no
2mo ago93bought no
2mo ago200bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.