Who will be the next Romanian PM?·closes in 223mo

Will Șerban Matei be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

YES means Șerban Matei

24h volume
0
1,824 lifetime
Open interest
1,229
Spread
50 × 200 at the touch
24h range
6 recent trades
Chance of YES
4%

A YES contract costs and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
96%

costs 99¢

YES bid / ask
/
NO bid / ask
94¢ / 99¢
Recent buying52% YES · 48% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask2545¢
  • ask1638¢
  • ask435¢
  • ask7534¢
  • ask2330¢
  • ask1225¢
  • ask7520¢
  • ask200
spreadmid
  • bid50
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the first new person to hold Prime Minister of Romania after Issuance is Șerban Matei, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
May 18 · 11:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2045 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2045 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXNEXTROMANIAPM-45JAN01-SMAT
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 6 trades, 52% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
25d ago200bought no
25d ago12bought no
28d ago200bought yes
28d ago12bought yes
28d ago12bought yes
28d ago5bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.