Will Warren Buffett be the world's second trillionaire?
YES means Warren Buffett
- 24h volume
- 19
- 1,455 lifetime
- Open interest
- 459
- −1 over 7d
- Spread
- 6¢
- 300 × 103 at the touch
- 24h range
- 1¢ – 5¢
- 13 recent trades
A YES contract costs 7¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 99¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
- ask20057¢
- ask4754¢
- ask1,19153¢
- ask40030¢
- ask5029¢
- ask127¢
- ask40010¢
- ask1037¢
- bid3001¢
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If Forbes reports that Warren Buffett has become the second person in the world to reach a net worth of at least $1 trillion USD before Jan 1, 2033 then the market resolves to Yes.
- opened
- Jun 15 · 9:00 PM UTC
- closes
- Jan 1, 2033 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Jan 1, 2033 · 3:00 PM UTC
- ticker
- KXNEXTTRILLIONAIRE-33-WB
Other outcomes in this event
Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 77¢).
Recent trades
Over the last 13 trades, 38% of contracts were bought on the YES side.
| When | YES | Contracts | Side |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18h ago | 1¢ | 9.37 | bought no |
| 21h ago | 5¢ | 9.37 | bought yes |
| 1d ago | 1¢ | 1 | bought no |
| 1mo ago | 4¢ | 7 | bought yes |
| 1mo ago | 4¢ | 34 | bought yes |
| 1mo ago | 4¢ | 42 | bought yes |
| 2mo ago | 3¢ | 1 | bought no |
| 2mo ago | 3¢ | 6.4 | bought no |
| 2mo ago | 3¢ | 4 | bought no |
| 2mo ago | 3¢ | 8 | bought no |
| 2mo ago | 3¢ | 5 | bought no |
| 2mo ago | 3¢ | 15 | bought no |
| 2mo ago | 3¢ | 100 | bought no |
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.