NFL Career Passing Yards·closes in 162mo

Josh Allen: 40,000+ Passing Yards

YES means 40,000+ passing yards

24h volume
0
8 lifetime
Open interest
2
Spread
8¢
200 × 5 at the touch
24h range
–
8 recent trades
Chance of YES
1%

A YES contract costs 97¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
99%

costs 11¢

YES bid / ask
89¢ / 97¢
NO bid / ask
3¢ / 11¢
Recent buying50% YES · 50% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask199¢
  • ask20098¢
  • ask597¢
spread8¢mid 93¢
  • bid20089¢
  • bid13¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Josh Allen records at least 40,000 career regular season passing yards before Josh Allen or any of the Source Agencies formally announce his retirement from Pro Football, then the market resolves to Yes.

The market resolves to Yes if Josh Allen records at least 40,000 career regular season passing yards before he or any of the Source Agencies formally announce his retirement from Pro Football. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NFL. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

opened
Sep 26 · 11:00 PM UTC
closes
Mar 8, 2040 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Mar 1, 2040 · 3:00 PM UTC
floor
39999.5
ticker
KXNFLCAREERPASSYDS-JALLEN-40000
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 8 trades, 50% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
10d ago11¢1bought no
10d ago1¢1bought no
10d ago90¢1bought no
12d ago98¢1bought yes
12d ago98¢1bought yes
12d ago98¢1bought yes
23d ago89¢1bought no
23d ago97¢1bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.