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KXNFLRETIRE·closes in 11mo

Aaron Rodgers announces his retirement from the NFL before the 2027-28 season

YES means Before the 2027-28 season

24h volume
0
54 lifetime
Open interest
52
Spread
91¢
5 × 47 at the touch
24h range
–
6 recent trades
Chance of YES
99%

A YES contract costs 99¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
1%

costs 92¢

YES bid / ask
8¢ / 99¢
NO bid / ask
1¢ / 92¢
Recent buying98% YES · 2% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask4799¢
spread91¢mid 54¢
  • bid58¢
  • bid257¢
  • bid256¢
  • bid15¢
  • bid13¢
  • bid1001¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Aaron Rodgers announces his retirement from the National Football League (NFL) before the 2027-28 NFL regular season start date, then the market resolves to Yes.

Note: The retirement must be intended to be effective immediately or prior to the first new regular season after the announcement. For the purposes of this market, the NFL season start date is defined as the date of the first regular season game for that season. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Oct 12 · 6:09 PM UTC
closes
Oct 1, 2027 · 3:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Oct 1, 2032 · 2:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXNFLRETIRE-ARODGERS8-27OCT01
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 6 trades, 98% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
7d ago99¢50bought yes
10d ago99¢1bought yes
13d ago5¢1bought no
17d ago99¢1bought yes
21d ago99¢1bought yes
23d ago1¢0.03bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.