Pro Football Retirement·closes in 37mo

Will Lane Johnson announce his retirement before the 2029-30 NFL season?

YES means Before the 2029-30 season

24h volume: 0; 532 lifetime
Open interest: 471; +0 over 7d
Spread: 93¢; 2 × 47 at the touch
24h range: –; 4 recent trades

Chance of YES

99%

A YES contract costs 99¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

costs 94¢

YES bid / ask

6¢ / 99¢

NO bid / ask

1¢ / 94¢

Recent buying98% YES · 2% NO

What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.

2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.

3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h 7d 30d 90d

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes

ask4799¢

spread93¢mid 53¢

bid26¢
bid55¢
bid33¢
bid501¢

Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Lane Johnson announces his retirement from the NFL before the 2029-30 NFL season start date, then the market resolves to Yes.

Note: The retirement must be intended to be effective immediately or prior to the first new season after the announcement. For the purposes of this market, the NFL season start date is defined as the date of the first regular season game for that season. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources

opened: May 28 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes: Sep 30, 2029 · 3:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by: Sep 30, 2031 · 2:00 PM UTC
ticker: KXNFLRETIRE-LJOHNSON65-2930

Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 4 trades, 98% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

When	YES	Contracts	Side
1mo ago	99¢	3	bought yes
1mo ago	92¢	2	bought yes
1mo ago	3¢	5	bought no
2mo ago	86¢	214	bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.