Pro Football Retirement·closes in 25mo

Will Matthew Stafford announce his retirement before the 2028-29 NFL season?

YES means Before the 2028-29 season

24h volume
0
211 lifetime
Open interest
112
+0 over 7d
Spread
80¢
121 × 68 at the touch
24h range
10 recent trades
Chance of YES
82%

A YES contract costs 82¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
18%

costs 98¢

YES bid / ask
/ 82¢
NO bid / ask
18¢ / 98¢
Recent buying81% YES · 19% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

0¢25¢50¢75¢volSep 14Sep 20

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Matthew Stafford announces his retirement from the NFL before the 2028-29 NFL season start date, then the market resolves to Yes.

Note: The retirement must be intended to be effective immediately or prior to the first new season after the announcement. For the purposes of this market, the NFL season start date is defined as the date of the first regular season game for that season. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

opened
May 28 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Sep 30, 2028 · 3:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Sep 30, 2031 · 2:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXNFLRETIRE-MSTAFFORD9-2829
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 10 trades, 81% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1mo ago82¢5bought yes
1mo ago40¢31bought yes
1mo ago39¢5bought yes
1mo ago21¢5bought no
1mo ago33¢68bought yes
1mo ago32¢5bought yes
2mo ago25¢5bought no
2mo ago24¢23bought no
2mo ago32¢6.13bought yes
2mo ago33¢22bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.