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New York City Mayor winner? (Person)·closes in 50mo

Who will win the next New York City mayoral election?

YES means Jessica Tisch

24h volume
0
3,678 lifetime
Open interest
1,923
+1,272 over 7d
Spread
21¢
5 × 574 at the touch
24h range
–
26 recent trades
Chance of YES
19%

A YES contract costs 40¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
81%

costs 81¢

YES bid / ask
19¢ / 40¢
NO bid / ask
60¢ / 81¢
Recent buying87% YES · 13% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
10¢20¢30¢40¢volSep 14Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask38469¢
  • ask60060¢
  • ask2759¢
  • ask57440¢
spread21¢mid 30¢
  • bid519¢
  • bid25012¢
  • bid548¢
  • bid1417¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Jessica Tisch wins the next New York City mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 9 · 9:03 PM UTC
closes
Nov 6, 2030 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 6, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXNYCMAYORPERSON-29-JTIS
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 120¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 26 trades, 87% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
5d ago19¢125bought yes
5d ago40¢24bought yes
5d ago39¢58bought yes
5d ago16¢392bought yes
5d ago16¢0.11bought yes
5d ago40¢1.99bought yes
5d ago13¢395bought yes
5d ago13¢5bought yes
5d ago13¢155bought yes
5d ago13¢95bought yes
5d ago13¢10bought yes
5d ago39¢20bought yes
5d ago7¢185bought no
5d ago11¢25bought no
5d ago11¢5bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.