NYC statistics·closes in 4mo

Will the MTA’s monthly key performance metric for overall citywide average weekday end-to-end route speed across New York City Transit and MTA Bus Company service be at least 8.1 mph for December 2026?

YES means At least 8.1 mph

24h volume
0
0 lifetime
Open interest
0
Spread
21¢
5 × 146 at the touch
24h range
Chance of YES
0%

A YES contract costs 95¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
100%

costs 26¢

YES bid / ask
74¢ / 95¢
NO bid / ask
/ 26¢
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask5099¢
  • ask3598¢
  • ask14695¢
spread21¢mid 85¢
  • bid574¢
  • bid20073¢
  • bid25016¢
  • bid63515¢
  • bid50
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the MTA’s monthly key performance metric for overall citywide average weekday end-to-end route speed across New York City Transit and MTA Bus Company service is at least 8.1 mph for December 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

opened
Aug 7 · 5:14 PM UTC
closes
Feb 1, 2027 · 2:59 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
May 2, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
floor
8.1
ticker
KXNYCSTAT-BUS26-AL8.1
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.