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OPENAI Sector in S&P·closes in 16mo

Will OpenAI be assigned to Unassigned?

YES means Unassigned

24h volume
0
3,095 lifetime
Open interest
351
+0 over 7d
Spread
7¢
200 × 191 at the touch
24h range
–
16 recent trades
Chance of YES
14%

A YES contract costs 14¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
86%

costs 93¢

YES bid / ask
7¢ / 14¢
NO bid / ask
86¢ / 93¢
Recent buying77% YES · 23% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢5¢10¢15¢20¢volSep 14Sep 20

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask2,22399¢
  • ask1390¢
  • ask88885¢
  • ask16484¢
  • ask1,24982¢
  • ask20015¢
  • ask19114¢
spread7¢mid 11¢
  • bid2007¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If OpenAI is assigned to the Unassigned sector, then the market resolves to Yes.

If OpenAI is assigned to more than one sector by the GICS, then "Yes" holders for any attributed sector will receive $1/number of sectors and "No" holders for those sectors will receive $1 minus "Yes" payout.

Settlement sources
opened
Jun 3 · 5:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 11, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 11, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXOPENAISECTOR-XX-UNASSIGNE
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 124¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 16 trades, 77% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
16d ago14¢1.34bought yes
1mo ago7¢6.57bought no
1mo ago7¢3.89bought no
1mo ago8¢6.11bought no
1mo ago14¢10bought yes
1mo ago18¢2bought yes
1mo ago2¢13bought no
1mo ago14¢29bought yes
2mo ago14¢34bought yes
2mo ago8¢3.03bought no
2mo ago15¢7.86bought yes
2mo ago14¢5bought yes
2mo ago15¢1.57bought yes
2mo ago14¢5bought yes
2mo ago14¢5bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.