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Oscar for Best Actress·closes in 16mo

Will Inde Navarrette win Best Actress at the Oscars?

YES means Inde Navarrette

24h volume
1,125
101.1k lifetime
Open interest
55.8k
+4,442 over 7d
Spread
3¢
159 × 58 at the touch
24h range
18¢ – 22¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
18%−2

A YES contract costs 21¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
82%

costs 82¢

YES bid / ask
18¢ / 21¢
NO bid / ask
79¢ / 82¢
24h low 18¢24h high 22¢
Recent buying82% YES · 18% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
10¢15¢20¢25¢30¢volSep 14Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,11128¢
  • ask64727¢
  • ask3826¢
  • ask3.1725¢
  • ask2424¢
  • ask22323¢
  • ask1,84322¢
  • ask5821¢
spread3¢mid 19¢
  • bid15918¢
  • bid2,20817¢
  • bid2016¢
  • bid2715¢
  • bid814¢
  • bid27513¢
  • bid63312¢
  • bid3,07511¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Inde Navarrette has won Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

The 99thth Academy Awards are expected to be held in March 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Oscars and Kalshi.

Settlement sources
opened
Jun 30 · 10:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXOSCARACTR-27-IND
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 110¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 82% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
3h ago18¢10bought no
4h ago21¢1.22bought yes
4h ago21¢0.72bought yes
4h ago21¢6.06bought yes
4h ago20¢2bought yes
4h ago18¢0.87bought no
4h ago18¢3.67bought no
4h ago18¢20bought no
4h ago21¢8.37bought yes
4h ago21¢0.28bought yes
5h ago19¢3.58bought no
5h ago21¢8bought yes
5h ago22¢35bought yes
6h ago19¢6.18bought no
6h ago19¢24bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.