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Oscar for Best Documentary Feature·closes in 16mo

Will Once Upon a Time in Harlem win Best Documentary Feature Film at the Oscars?

YES means Once Upon a Time in Harlem

24h volume
724
5,489 lifetime
Open interest
3,113
Spread
4¢
24 × 5 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
11%−4

A YES contract costs 13¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
89%

costs 91¢

YES bid / ask
9¢ / 13¢
NO bid / ask
87¢ / 91¢
Recent buying54% YES · 46% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask25035¢
  • ask5532¢
  • ask28731¢
  • ask1623¢
  • ask7122¢
  • ask20015¢
  • ask3314¢
  • ask513¢
spread4¢mid 11¢
  • bid249¢
  • bid308¢
  • bid777¢
  • bid4516¢
  • bid595¢
  • bid754¢
  • bid1073¢
  • bid2312¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Once Upon a Time in Harlem has won Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

The 99th Academy Awards are expected to be held in March 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Oscars and Kalshi.

Settlement sources
opened
Aug 5 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXOSCARDOCU-27-ONC
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 182¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 54% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
10h ago11¢120bought yes
11h ago10¢186bought no
11h ago11¢16bought no
11h ago12¢186bought no
11h ago14¢2.44bought no
11h ago13¢13bought no
21h ago13¢200bought yes
1d ago15¢5.6bought yes
1d ago14¢8.78bought yes
1d ago14¢8.78bought yes
1d ago14¢8.79bought yes
1d ago14¢9bought yes
1d ago14¢8.88bought yes
1d ago14¢8.88bought yes
1d ago14¢8.88bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.